The Bank of Canada today held its target for the overnight rate at 5%, with the Bank Rate at 5¼% and the deposit rate at 5%. The Bank is also continuing its policy of quantitative tightening.
Inflation in advanced economies is decreasing, but core inflation remains high, so central banks are focused on price stability.
Global growth slowed in Q2 2023, mainly due to a slowdown in China. Weakness in China's property sector has lowered growth prospects.
The U.S. saw stronger-than-expected growth, driven by robust consumer spending. Europe's service sector supported growth, offsetting manufacturing contraction.
Global bond yields have risen due to higher real interest rates, and international oil prices are higher than expected.
Canada's economy is experiencing weaker growth, which is necessary to ease inflationary pressures.
Q2 2023 saw a 0.2% annualized contraction in output due to weak consumption, declining housing activity, and wildfires.
Household credit growth slowed due to higher rates, and the labor market has gradually eased.
CPI inflation was 3.3% in July, with core inflation at around 3.5%, indicating persistent inflationary pressures.
The Bank of Canada held the policy interest rate at 5% and will continue normalizing the balance sheet.
The bank is concerned about persistent inflation but will increase rates if needed to achieve the 2% inflation target.
They will monitor core inflation, excess demand, inflation expectations, wage growth, and corporate pricing behavior to maintain price stability for Canadians.
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